See the previous absurdly premature playoff picture here.

AFC First-Round Byes:
Indianapolis Colts
Cincinnati Bengals

Other AFC Divisional Champions:
San Diego Chargers
New England Patriots

AFC Wild Cards:
Denver Broncos
Pittsburgh Steelers

NFC First-Round Byes:
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings

Other NFC Divisional Champions:
Dallas Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals

NFC Wild Cards:
Green Bay Packers
Atlanta Falcons

• The Bengals and Chargers are both 8-3, tied for the second-best record in the AFC, but it took about .4 seconds to decide to give the Bengals the nod for the second first-round bye spot. The Chargers, bless their hearts, feel a tad flimsy to me. The Bengals have a stronger ground game, and they're better at stopping the run. They're built on a sturdier foundation. Fortunately, if the issue is still between these two teams on Dec. 20, they'll get to decide things on the field.

• I gave New England a brief moment of consideration for the two-spot as well, since the Patriots are just one game out, and I can forgive a team for laying an egg in the Superdome. It happens, especially if you don't play there often. Teams get in there, and they play like they're high. I don't know why. What I'm saying here is that the Patriots aren't as bad as they looked on Monday night, and I still see them as a major factor in the AFC. That said, I didn't feel like the rest of their schedule was soft enough to give them the benefit of the doubt for the two-spot.

• Denver, on the hand, has a remaining schedule softer than Ben Roethlisberger(notes). (Sorry, Hines Ward(notes) wrote that last sentence.)  It still has two against Kansas City and it gets Oakland at home, so the Broncos should be looking at 10 wins, regardless. The other two are against Indy and Philadelphia.

• And yes, I have Pittsburgh over Baltimore, despite the results of Sunday night's contest. They're both 6-5 right now, both have two gimmes left on the schedule (Baltimore with Detroit and Oakland, Pittsburgh with Oakland and Cleveland), and let's not kid ourselves about that rematch in Pittsburgh. You don't think home-field advantage and Ben Roethlisberger's presence tilt the rematch in favor of Pittsburgh? When the Steelers played into overtime without either of those advantages?

• I feel like I should mention Jacksonville because it's also 6-5, but the Jaguars' next four are a little rough: Houston and Miami are both tough opponents, and they're followed by Indianapolis and a game in New England.

• A handful of 5-6 teams are still alive in the AFC, but they'll probably have to run the table if they want in. If any team's going to do that, it almost has to be Tennessee, doesn't it?

• The only NFC division where the champion isn't clear-cut at this point is the East, and I'd say Dallas is on the brink of that. It felt like the Giants checked out on the season for good on Thursday night, and Philadelphia feels like the most beatable 7-4 team in NFL history. Not that things can't change, because the Cowboys' cupcake schedule is behind them and the rest of their schedule turns into a cupcake made by this thing. GIANT, CAKE-SIZED CUPCAKES.

• About Philadelphia, I think I might be overly angry with the Eagles because their narrow win over Washington was ... well, we'll just say it was better for my bookie than it was for me. But really, when's the last time the Eagles were impressive? It wasn't in wins against Washington or Chicago, and it wasn't in losses to Dallas or San Diego. That takes us back to Week 8.

• That brings us to Atlanta, which I also don't feel good about, but Chris Redman(notes) at least deserves a chance. If Matt Ryan(notes) is done for the year, obviously, Atlanta's chances take a nosedive. He's definitely out for this weekend, which is unfortunate, because Atlanta plays Philadelphia and there's an NFC wild-card spot ON THE LINE.

The 10 biggest NFL draft busts of the decade

Time is running short on the last year of the '00s, so it's time to dive into the daunting task of ranking the NFL's best of the decade. Best what? Best everything. We're going with a series of top 10 lists, and if something miraculous happens between now and December 31st, well, we'll just have to catch it at the end of 2019.

What makes a draft bust? Is draft position alone the determining factor? How much does one have to fail? Could a bust have an otherwise fine career, aside from the massive expectations that accompanied him into the league? What role do injuries play in the whole thing? Does bad luck equal bust?

Ask 100 different people and you'll get 100 different answers, which is why the whole darn discussion is so fun. There are no right answers, hence the following list fraught with contradictions. You'll find complete flops next to guys who could play a decade in the league. The reasoning player X is included might make you say, "well, why not player Y?"

And some of the names you don't see might be as surprising as those you do see. For instance, David Carr(notes) or Alex Smith on this list, even though their names frequently pop-up on such rankings. Just because they went No. 1 doesn't mean that, outside of a two-month stretch in the spring of the year they were drafted, most people ever thought they'd be great. Those guys were more No. 1 by default; the best looking prospects of a bad class.

But, without further adieu, Shutdown Corner's top 10 draft busts of the 2000s:

10. Mike Williams, WR, Detroit Lions, No. 10, 2005

Sitting out the 2004 college season was bad. Getting drafted by the Lions was worse. After a decent rookie season (29 catches, 350 yards), Williams caught just 14 balls in the NFL. He was cut by the Tennesee Titans in 2007 after failing to get a single reception.

9. Robert Gallery(notes), T, Oakland Raiders, No. 3, 2004

Sports Illustrated called him "the best lineman to come out of college in years". He was supposed to dominate the left tackle position for "10 to 15 years". But he went from that marquee offensive line position to right tackle to left guard, on the Raiders no less. He's an adequate NFL player, but far from the "next Tony Boselli".

8. Courtney Brown, DE, Cleveland Browns, No. 1, 2000

7. LaVar Arrington(notes), LB, Washington Redskins, No. 2, 2000

Two Penn State defenders went with top two picks in the first draft of the decade. Neither have played in the league since 2006

5. Maurice Clarett, RB, Denver Broncos, No. 101, 2005

Not a bust in the traditional sense, but before the goose-getting and the arrests and the jail sentence, it was thought that Maurice Clarett could be a good gamble for the Broncos. His 40 times at the combine were abysmal and he looked puffier than Vince Vaughn in Old School. But Mike Shanahan had made stars of less (Mike Anderson(notes), anyone?). 

5. Matt Leinart(notes), QB, Arizona Cardinals, No. 10, 2006

Why Leinart and not Carr or Smith? Leinart was the USC golden boy, the Heisman Trophy winner who became the toast of L.A. and could have been the No. 1 pick in 2005 before coming back and getting his game nitpicked by scouts. Now he's best known for holding a beer bong and backing up the ageless Kurt Warner(notes). Who knows, he may be a star of the 2010s. But for the '00s: bust. 

4. Reggie Bush(notes), RB, New Orleans Saints, No. 2, 2006

All of the flaws that are readily apparent in Bush's game today weren't so obvious three years ago. Those who were touting Mario Williams(notes) as the No. 1 pick (and there weren't many) did so more because they thought Williams would be great, not because they thought Bush's college dominance wouldn't translate to the pros. Bush is a fine NFL player, but far from the game-changing superstar he was anticipated to be.

3. Peter Warrick(notes), WR, Cincinnati Benglas, No. 4, 2000

This summer, the former Florida State star was playing for the Bloomington Extreme of the Indoor Football League. No word on whether they give discounts at Dillard's.

2. JaMarcus Russell(notes), QB, Oakland Raiders, No. 1, 2007

Earlier this month, Joe Posnanski had the best summation of Russell's professional prospects I've ever seen:

You keep hearing about this "talent" that he has - after all, he was the No. 1 pick in the draft - but best I can tell he can't or won't run, he has no feel in the pocket, he has no idea what an open receiver looks like and he has absolutely no idea where his passes are going. I'm just not sure what his talent is supposed to be. Yes, he's big and he has a strong arm. Big deal. That's not talent, not for an NFL quarterback. To me, that's like saying someone has talent for playing the piano because they have long fingers and like music.

1. Charles Rogers(notes), WR, Detroit Lions, No. 2, 2003

It's always easier to judge a bust in retrospect. We can look back at the failed drug tests in college and the prima donna attitude and say, "he was destined to fail." But that's the thing ... you never know how a guy is going to perform. Randy Moss(notes) had problems, but he's on his way to Canton. Charles Rogers had just as much talent, he just couldn't harness it. And it didn't help that he went to the Lions either.

Comments, criticisms, omissions, and your own top ten lists are encouraged in the comments below.

Sunday Spotlight: How do the Texans beat the Colts?

After Houston's close 20-17 loss to the Colts in Week 9, many experts have said that the Texans have the best chance of derailing Indy's potential undefeated season in today's rematch. That's for two reasons -- first, the Texans have played the Colts tight in four of their last five matchups, and second, the toughest opponent Peyton and his crew face after this game is the Denver Broncos, and who knows what kind of team you'll get when you take on Denver these days?

The loss to the Colts would have been the most important win in Texans history, and that still stands of Houston can pull it off. The AFC South championship would be out of reach barring a selection of Biblical miracles, but Houston could go forward with great confidence on a possible playoff run. The question is, how do the 5-5 Texans actually pull it off?

One advantage will present itself right off the bat -- pass-rusher extraordinaire Dwight Freeney(notes) is out with an abdominal injury. In the first matchup this season, Freeney racked up 1.5 sacks against Houston's offensive line, and his absence allows Houston to adjust its protection schemes to account for Robert Mathis(notes). Freeney and Mathis feed off each other, preventing offenses from taking both players on with the double-teams they deserve.

The matchup of the game is the same as it was the first time -- Colts tight end Dallas Clark(notes) versus Texans rookie linebacker Brian Cushing(notes). In Week 9, Manning targeted Clark 16 times, and Clark caught 14 passes for 119 yards. These were mostly underneath routes averaging 8.5 yards per catch, and the Texans bracketed coverage to deal with the Colts' receivers. Despite Clark's stat-heavy day, it was an effective strategy in that Manning did not throw a touchdown pass to a receiver -- only running back Joseph Addai(notes) kept Manning alive in the touchdown category. The Texans might consider rolling safety Bernard Pollard(notes) over more to cover Clark, but they'd probably be better off allowing the small stuff and devoting more resources to the deep and outside threats -- especially when the Colts go no-huddle and stop Houston from using substitutions. Oh, and putting the game on the foot of kicker Kris Brown(notes) (pitcured above, right after missing the field goal that would have tied the Colts game) isn't advisable right now.

The real challenge for Houston will be to put together consistent drives via run and pass balance, and control the momentum of the game. Ryan Moats(notes) led the team with 38 yards on 16 carries last time, and that will not feed the bulldog. They need to work Steve Slaton(notes) in for his versatility, and put together enough threats to keep Indy's defense from smothering Andre Johnson(notes). If they can do that, and keep Manning's deep stuff in check (especially the threat of Austin Collie(notes) on deep slot routes -- that's where Pollard needs to be if he's coming up to force), the Texans have a good chance of beating the Colts in Houston.

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Giants at crossroads with 6-5 record (AP)

New York Giants tight end Darcy Johnson (84) walks off the field following a 26-6 loss to the Denver Broncos in an NFL football game in Denver, Thursday, Nov. 26, 2009. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)AP - The New York Giants have reached a crossroads in their season after losing five of six games.


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Hungry Broncos Shove Giants Aside

Thomas Georgeby Thomas George

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Broncos beat GiantsDENVER -- When one team is angry and the other appears content, when one team can stay on schedule and the other is scattered, and when one team insists it is all about attitude when the other team mentions altitude, well, you get the pounding the Denver Broncos put on the New York Giants here at Invesco Field at Mile High Stadium on Thanksgiving night.

The Giants were carved and shredded, 26-6. The Broncos made them look silly.

When there was a battle between receiver and defensive back, the Broncos won it. When there was a tussle to see which team would win the bruising running game, the Broncos won that, too. You pick it, Denver dominated it.

Hungry Broncos Shove Giants Aside originally appeared on Fanhouse NFL Blog on Fri, 27 Nov 2009 02:10:00 EST . Please see our terms for use of feeds.

 

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Broncos end 4-game skid with 26-6 win over Giants (AP)

Denver Broncos quarterback Kyle Orton, left, looks to pass during the first quarter of an NFL football game against the New York Giants in Denver, Thursday, Nov. 26, 2009. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)AP - The Denver Broncos still have their troubles with the red zone and yellow flags. The dark cloud that hung over them during their month of misery, though, is gone.


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Reuters - Kyle Orton shrugged off the pain of a lingering ankle injury to help the Denver Broncos snap a four-game losing streak with a 26-6 win over the New York Giants on Thursday.
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